Saturday, March 3, 2007

Who's In, Who's out?

The Madness is almost here. Which bubble teams are in and which are out? There are many teams out there trying to solidify their spot in the tourney. Which is why conference tourney time is so crucial for teams vying for a bid.


Georgia Tech- In
The Yellow Jackets have one of the easier in-conference schedules in the ACC, but have some key wins. Early season wins over Memphis, Duke, FSU (2), Clemson, and NC State help; But the main one was Thursday nights upset over UNC. I believe if G-Tech lost that game they would of had to get 2 or 3 wins in the ACC Tourney to get a bid; but now with the win over the Tar-Heels, G-Tech is probably dancing.

Clemson- Out
Clemson was on fire at the start of the season. But have recently dropped 9 out of the last 12. The Tigers do not have many wins that will catch the eye of the NCAA Tournament Committee and still don't have a win over a ranked opponent.

FSU- Out
A week or two ago I probably would have had this team in. But after some tough losses they're quickly dropping. FSU has some key wins but have only one significant win on the road, which was at Duke. In order to get into the tourney they need a strong showing at the ACC Tournament next week and need to get a win over one of the top 4 in the league.

Big 12:
Kansas State- Out
KSU has been too inconsistent and have not played particularly well on the road. The Wildcats are 62nd in the RPI and are 1-5 against the top 50, and in hope of a tournament berth need to at least make it to the Big 12 tournament championship.

Texas Tech- In
T-Tech has one of the toughest schedules in the country and have vital wins over top ranked opponents. Which include: Kansas & Texas A&M twice. Even if the Red Raiders get knocked out of the conference tourney right away, the big wins will be enough.

Oklahoma State- Out
Even with a tough schedule, OK St. is just out of the tournament. Only one good road win against Syracuse is not good enough to get you in the dance.

Big East:
Syracuse- In
The Cuse has been playing well lately and just got a much needed win over Georgetown. Maybe one or two conference tourney wins would help though.

West Virginia- In
The 2 recent road losses don't help but some big wins along the way do. A 55 RPI isn't much to brag about, but the Mountaineers also deserve credit for beating the teams they should've beaten.

Villanova- In
Nova is no doubt in, 7th SOS in the country and their RPI is 19th. They don't have many big road wins, but they came up big by beating plenty of ranked teams at home.

Pac 10:
I don't know if I can consider them a bubble team or not, but they are indeed in. USC may not have the greatest RPI and SOS but playing in the toughest conference in the country is hard enough.

Arizona- In
Besides struggling throughout the season, the Wildcats have enough wins to get in. Playing one of the toughest schedules in the country helps and some recent road conference wins will get them in.

Stanford- In
Standford has strong enough wins and a decent enough RPI to get them in. Also, the big upset over UCLA is the main ingredient for a bid.

Vanderbilt- In
The Commodores have a tough schedule and got some some clutch wins down the stretch. The consistency from this team is huge and they will be dancing.

Alabama- In
Bama is one of those teams that are hard to call right now. I think that they will make it. I think they will be the only team to make it out of the SEC West Division. Their inconsistency has really been what put them on the bubble. They haven't beat too many good teams. They did beat Kentucky, but they lost big to Notre Dame and Auburn. For them to solidify a spot, they will have to win at least one game in the SEC Tournament.

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