Saturday, April 28, 2007

2007 NFL Draft 1st Round Picks, Analysis, and Mock Corrections

Here, I'm going to break down the first round in the same format as my mock draft. I'll give you the picks, some thoughts, and how my mock draft did. My Mock Draft can be located here

1. Oakland Raiders - JaMarcus Russel - QB
My Pick Was- JaMarcus Russel - QB
Yea, I knew it. You probably knew it too. Most did.

2. Detroit Lions- Calvin Johnson
My Pick Was- Tampa Bay Buccs- Calvin Johnson - WR
I knew Johnson would go #2 but I thought he would be a Buc. Oh well, I think this guy will be an all-pro reciever for the next 12 years. He's the best player in the draft and I think it was a great pick for the Lions. It's just kind of pathetic that they needed a WR after their extensive history of WR 1st round picking. I'm giving myself the benefit of the doubt.

3. Cleveland Browns - Joe Thomas - OT
My pick was- Brady Quinn - QB
When I first saw this pick I thought it was kind of foolish, even though Thomas is a great talent and totally dominates his position. However, since the Browns got their QB in Quinn anyways it looks genius!

4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Gaines Adams - DE
My Picks Was-Detroit Lions (trade with Tampa Bay Buccaneers) - Gaines Adams - DE
Tampa Bay got their new and improved Simeon Rice type of rusher. With no Calvin Johnson for them this was the best pick they could have made.

5. Arizona Cardinals - Levi Brown - OT
My Pick Was- Joe Thomas - OT
OT was their need and they didn't get their guy but they got the next best guy at that position.

6. Washington Redskins - trade down somewhere
My Pick Was- LaRon Landry - S
"If they decide that they are indeed screwed anyways so they might as well just use the pick then I think they get LSU Safety LaRon Landry to bookend what would become quite the dynamic duo in their secondary." I almost picked it. I knew he was their guy but I really thought that they would realize that without a 3rd, 4th, or 5th round selection they needed to trade this down for more picks. I'm going to give myself the benefit of the doubt again.

7. Minnesota Vikings - Adrian Peterson - RB
My Pick Was - Adrian Peterson - RB
Yea, the Vikes didn'treally need a RB that badly. There are a lot more pressing issues with this team like, oh I don't know, QB and WR! I picked it but I disagree with it. This pick, however, means that the Vikes officially like Jackson. He'll have weapons at the RB position. I just can't believe they took him over Quinn. I picked Peterson for them with the idea that Quinn was already gone.

8. Atlanta Falcons - Jamaal Anderson - DE
My Pick Was- LaRon Landry - S
Landry was gone so, being that, this is a good pick. Anderson will probably be able to make a serious impact next year right away...maybe even start.

9. Miami Dolphins - Tedd Ginn Jr. - WR
My Pick Was- Amobi Okoye - DT
With the loss of Wes Welker they probably decided to take the best WR available, and they got him. The only problem is who will be throwing to him next year..? Regardless look for Ginn to make a Devin Hester-like impact returning kicks right away.

10. Houston Texans - Amobi Okoye
My Pick Was- Levi Brown - OT
I would have liked to see the Texans invest in the protection of Schaub somehow but Okoye is a stud. Other than Johnson I think he's the next greatest talent in the draft. Plus, he's only 19!!! (and incredibly intelligent)

11. San Fransisco 49ers - Patrick Willis - LB
My Pick Was- Alan Branch - DT
We all knew Branch would fall but I think he'd catch a snag here with the 9ers...he fell considerably farther. Willis is a stud though and I'm sure the Bills are just steaming that they didn't get him. I think he really could lead the team in tackles next year, much like Hawk did in Green Bay last season.

12. Buffalo Bills - Marshawn Lynch - RB
My Pick Was- Patricks Willis - LB
This made me kind of mad. I really wanted Lynch to be a Packer. I was already fantasizing over the though of buying the Jersey on Ebay. Bills lost their guy Patrick Willis and decided to fill important RB needs.

13. St. Louis Rams - Adam Carriker
My Pick Was- Ted Ginn Jr. - WR
My pick of Ginn was kind of falsified later last week by the acquisition of the X-factor Dante Hall. I love Carriker and I think he'll start next year for the Rams and create some real havoc.

14. NY Jets- Darelle Revis - CB
My Pick Was- Carolina Panthers - Greg Olsen - TE
He's a playmaker. He'll be great for them. He has some trouble matching up in the slot with big play-making recievers but he'll be fine. He has a nose for the ball and creating turnovers.

15. Pittsburgh Steelers - Lawrence Timmons - LB
My Pick Was- Paul Posluszny - LB
They must have had concerns with the knee injury. They needed a LB, I just thought it was Posluszny.

16. Green Bay Packers - Justin Harrell - DT
My Pick Was- Marshawn Lynch - RB
Damnit. Harrell's good but quite injury-prone. I think this would have been a great late-round pick. However, I think picking him here was a stretch. Ted Thompson is great with the draft and really won my approval last year so I'll trust him for now.

17. Denver Broncos - Jarvis Moss- DE
My Pick Was- Jacksonville Jaguars - Jarvis Moss - DE
A great explosive pass rusher who fills what looks to be a definite need. I thought Carriker for the Broncos but he got picked much sooner than I thought he would and so they Broncos needed to trade up to make sure that they fill a need.

18. Cincinatti Bengals - Leon Hall - CB
My Pick Was- Darelle Revis - CB
Benglas need a good corner. I liked Revis for them, but he got snatched up. Hall is a good pick thing infact.

19. Tennesse Titans - Michael Griffin - S
My Pick Was- Robert Meachem - WR
He's a great player and I don't have much to say that is wrong with this pick. I just thought they could have thrown Vince a bone here.

20. NY Giants - Aaron Ross- CB
My Pick Was- Lawrence Timmons - LB
Timmons got picked much earlier than I had predicted. Ross has great speed and will probably be their nickel corner next year...I just don't see him starting right away. This isn't a bad pick.

21. Jacksonville Jaguars- Reggie Nelson -S
My Pick Was-Denver Broncos - Adam Carriker - DE
Nelson is a talent. I thought that the Jaguars had greater needs on the DLine but when they're taking a guy like Nelson, it's pretty hard to refute the pick.

22.Cleveland Browns- Brady Quinn - QB
My Pick Was- Dallas Cowboys - Dwayne Jarrett - WR
This makes Cleveland's draft look spectacular. They get their guy at QB AND got the best guy to aid in protecting him. I feel a little bad for the kid for falling so far, but he'll be fine. If he starts next year, and he definately could, he'll be shaky. But remember Petyon's first few years? I think he'll be a good Pro Player.

23. Kansas City Chiefs - Dwayne Bowe - WR
My Pick Was- Aaron Ross - CB
I thought their D needed an upgrade but as for as offense goes their recieving corps were very weak. Bowe is probably the next best guy, next to Johson, at going up and getting the ball in traffic. He'll be a staple for this offense for many years to come. I just have a feeling.

24. New England Patriots - Brandon Merriweather
My Pick Was- Jon Beason - LB
Well, I picked the wrong guy out of the U. I think Merriweather will play a lot next year. The Pats' starters have durabilty problems and Merriweather is just too talented to sit on the bench all year.

25. Carolina Panthers- Jon Beason - LB
My Pick Was-NY Jets - Jamaal Anderson - DE
He's good value here. He probably won't start next year but will push Na'il Diggs for playing time.

26. Dallas Cowboys- Anthony Spencer- DE
My Pick Was-Philadelphia Eagles - Dwayne Bowe - WR
Spencer is a great player. But in my opinion the 'Boys are already too stacked on the DLine. They could have addressed other needs here.

27. New Orleans - Robert Meachem - WR
My Pick was- Chris Houston - CB
They're just stacking the offense now. I suppose with the loss of Joe Horn this is warranted. They will look D in the mid to later rounds now. In regards to Meachem, remember this: Complete Sports liked him before it was cool to like him.

28.San Francisco 49ers - Joe Staley - OT
My Pick Was-New England Patriots (again) - Reggie Nelson - S
The 9ers do a great job going out and getting a guy who will help protec their franchise face.

29. Baltimore Ravens - Ben Grubbs - OG
My Pick Was- Joe Staley - OT
Staley was their guy but got taken right before. They get the next best guy to fill their OLine need with Grubbs. Plus, with a name like Grubbs how can you not love this guy? If I was Ravens fan I would buy a jersey asap.

30. San Diego Chargers - Craig Davis- LSU
My Pick Was- Mike Griffin - S
This was probably a stretch but they're really weak at WR. Davis and Bowe become the first tandem of WRs from the same college to go in the first round since Moss and Wayne outa the U.

31. Chicago Bears - Greg Olsen- TE
My Pick Was- Ben Grubbs- G
This is an AWESOME pick for the Bears here. I love it. Well, really I hate it because I hate the Bears know what I mean. They need a playmaking TE badly. This may be arguably the bets pick in the 1st round. I didn't see it coming at all.

32. Indianapolis Colts- Anthony Gonzalez - WR
My Pick Was- Justin Harrell - DT
Harrel went WAYYYY earlier than I thought he would (possibly regretably) but Gonzalez is an OK pick here. It may have been a stretch but he will fill Brandon Stokley's shoes almost identically. He'll be a good possession reciever in the pros.

So, there you have it, all of my time, sleep, effort, and research really were almost all for naught. But I wanna know what you thought of the 1st round Saturday. Any thoughts...please drop a comment.


Anonymous said...

Joe Thomas - "I thought it was kind of foolish"

Adrian Peterson - "Yea, the Vikes didn'treally need a RB that badly. There are a lot more pressing issues with this team like, oh I don't know, QB and WR! I picked it but I disagree with it."

Ted Ginn Jr. - "With the loss of Wes Welker they probably decided to take the best WR available, and they got him. The only problem is who will be throwing to him next year..? Regardless look for Ginn to make a Devin Hester-like impact returning kicks right away." (No criticism? This was an awful pick.)

This is why ming01 should post more, where is HIS review of the draft? Let's get some actual material here.

grittysquirrels said...

I'm sorry your father hates you.

point 23 said...

I can't believe you didn't predict Ginn at 9 to the 'phins. Unacceptable, really.

And props on the props doled out to the 9ers. Willis is a beast.

Raps Fan said...

holy shit, that is one of the most comprehensive analysis of a draft i have ever seen, for any sport, in my whole life!!! lol

damn good job.

Anonymous said...

With the trades and acquisitions made going into the draft, plus the bulk of the team that is carried over from last season, and the trades and draft picks made during the draft, it sure seems like the Pats are going to be the team to beat in the AFC this season, and perhaps in all of the NFL.

Considering the Pats were almost in the Superbowl last season with a pathetic receiving corps and that they've added very talented players into said receiving corps this season, barring some nasty injury(ies), they look to be the team to take it all.I say injury(ies) because I think they could survive an injury or two to some positions, but if they lost Brady they'd probably have a hard time recovering.

I wish I could say that the Redskins did well in the draft and/or in free agency but so many holes still exist that I'm not sure they'll be significantly better than last season. I suppose on face they should be if they can keep their corners healthy. With Landry (argh, hard to type that name as a Redskin!!) back there with a healthy secondary they might be able to cheat up more and put more pressure on opposing QBs. Might.

They still have what should be a lot of talent in the receiving positions, and Campbell should be better, but they don't have the quality on either line (offense or defense) that I wish they'd have, so it could be yet another year of .500 at best, or worse.

Still, the NFC East looks to be the NFC Least again this season. None of the teams there look like they'll be that good, and none really look ready to step up and take the division.

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